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Hello from Janis!
The numbers are in for August and volume-wise, we are down. But that's because there was nothing out there to sell. Even though inventory levels were LOW, sales prices were well over listing prices in all the categories we track and there were many multiple offer situations. This time of year is perfect for us to be away, and we got to attend
both the Elite Retreat in Los Angeles and the Previews Retreat in Monterey.
This is where we meet elite Realtors from across the country. Loan and interest rate crisis--- these are the headlines and the talk everywhere. We have become so spoiled with easy money and low interest rates that fear has become the dominant factor in many markets. I think the only reason we don't have problems in our San Francisco market is because of our lack of inventory. Historically this is still a FABULOUSLY FAVORABLE interest rate climate and a great time to own property. I was cleaning out my office drawers the other day and came across two old booklets with payment tables for loans. One was dated 1974 (I started in the real estate business in 1975) and the interest rates started at 8% and went to 14%. This booklet I used until it was replaced by a new booklet published by the SF Board of Realtors in 1980 where the lowest rate was 10% and went to 24%!! This should put a little perspective on our current situation. Aren't
we lucky to be able to own (and sell) property and pay less than 8% interest
on an 80 to 90% loan for a $1,000,000 home??? |
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Hello from Christine! Despite
the changes in the mortgage market, many buyers are not affected, particularly
those who are looking to buy into a TIC - Fractional TIC purchase loans.
Dennis Kowalski from Princeton Capital explains, "All TIC lenders are "portfolio" lenders meaning that they keep those loans on their books because there is no "secondary" market in which to sell those loans. TIC loans carry more risk to the originating bank because they stay in their portfolio so the rates have always been higher than conventional "Non-Conforming" or "Jumbo" mortgages that do have a secondary market. However, due to current events in the mortgage industry investors that previously bought non-conforming/jumbo loans have pulled back from the market, driving up rates. "On the other hand the TIC lenders never did sell their loans on
the secondary market so little has changed for them. As a result the spread
between TIC rates and non-conforming/jumbo rates has narrowed significantly.
Whereas one could recently get a 5 year ARM in the low 6% range for a
conventional SFR or condo those rates are now in the 7% range. Meanwhile,
are still about 7.5%. Therefore, at least for now, TIC loans are actually
better priced relative to conventional loans although still somewhat higher." |
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Interest Rates Interest rates have been fluctuating a bit, but are still historically low. Foster Weeks reports every Monday in his weekly newsletter and on our Blog. |
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Giants Tickets Regular Season Starts:
LA = LA Dodgers, CIN= Cincinatti Reds. SD = San Deigo Padres |
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Sales Activity
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See you next month! Janis Stone & Christine Serventi
"The nicest compliment you can give us is to refer
others within your circle" |